How a 92-year-old cleric silently halted Iraq’s slide again into struggle By Reuters

By John Davison, Parisa Hafezi and Laila Bassam

BAGHDAD (Reuters) – When a pronouncement by a non secular scholar in Iran drove Iraq to the brink of civil struggle final week, there was just one man who may cease it: a 92-year-old Iraqi Shi’ite cleric who proved as soon as once more he’s probably the most highly effective man in his nation.

Grand Ayatollah Ali Al-Sistani stated nothing in public concerning the unrest that erupted on Iraq’s streets. However authorities officers and Shi’ite insiders say it was solely Sistani’s stance behind the scenes that halted a meltdown.

The story of Iraq’s bloodiest week in practically three years reveals the bounds of conventional politics in a rustic the place the facility to start out and cease wars rests with clerics – many with ambiguous ties to Iran, the Shi’ite theocracy subsequent door.

The Iraqis who took to the streets blamed Tehran for whipping up the violence, which started after a cleric primarily based in Iran denounced Iraq’s hottest politician, Moqtada al-Sadr, and instructed his personal followers – together with Sadr himself – to hunt steerage from Iran’s Supreme Chief.

Sadr’s followers tried to storm authorities buildings. By dusk they had been driving via Baghdad in pickup vans brandishing machineguns and bazookas.

Armed males believed to be members of pro-Iranian militia opened fireplace on Sadrist demonstrators who threw stones. At the least 30 folks had been killed.

After which, inside 24 hours, it was over as instantly because it began. Sadr returned to the airwaves and referred to as for calm. His armed supporters and unarmed followers started leaving the streets, the military lifted an in a single day curfew and a fragile calm descended upon the capital.

To know each how the unrest broke out and the way it was quelled, Reuters spoke with practically 20 officers from the Iraqi authorities, Sadr’s motion and rival Shi’ite factions seen as pro-Iranian. Most spoke on situation of anonymity.

These interviews all pointed to a decisive intervention behind the scenes by Sistani, who has by no means held formal political workplace in Iraq however presides as probably the most influential scholar in its Shi’ite spiritual centre, Najaf.

In response to the officers, Sistani’s workplace ensured Sadr understood that until Sadr referred to as off the violence by his followers, Sistani would denounce the unrest.

“Sistani despatched a message to Sadr, that if he is not going to cease the violence then Sistani could be pressured to launch a press release calling for a stopping of combating – this is able to have made Sadr look weak, and as if he’d brought on bloodshed in Iraq,” stated an Iraqi authorities official.

Three Shi’ite figures primarily based in Najaf and near Sistani wouldn’t affirm that Sistani’s workplace despatched an specific message to Sadr. However they stated it might have been clear to Sadr that Sistani would quickly communicate out until Sadr referred to as off the unrest.

An Iran-aligned official within the area stated that if it weren’t for Sistani’s workplace, “Moqtada al-Sadr wouldn’t have held his press convention” that halted the combating.

‘BETRAYAL’

Sistani’s intervention might have averted wider bloodshed for now. However it doesn’t clear up the issue of sustaining calm in a rustic the place a lot energy resides outdoors the political system within the Shi’ite clergy, together with amongst clerics with intimate ties to Iran.

Sistani, who has intervened decisively at essential moments in Iraq’s historical past for the reason that U.S. invasion that toppled Saddam Hussein, has no apparent successor. Regardless of his age, little is thought publicly concerning the state of his well being.

In the meantime, lots of the most influential Shi’ite figures – together with Sadr himself at numerous factors in his profession – have studied, lived and labored in Iran, a theocracy which makes no try to separate clerical affect from state energy.

Final week’s violence started after Ayatollah Kadhim al-Haeri, a high rating Iraqi-born Shi’ite cleric who has lived in Iran for many years, introduced he was retiring from public life and shutting down his workplace attributable to superior age. Such a transfer is virtually unknown within the 1,300-year historical past of Shi’ite Islam, the place high clerics are usually revered till demise.

Haeri had been anointed as Sadr’s motion’s non secular advisor by Sadr’s father, himself a revered cleric who was assassinated by Saddam’s regime in 1999. In saying his personal resignation, Haeri denounced Sadr for inflicting rifts amongst Shi’ites, and referred to as on his personal followers to hunt future steerage on spiritual issues from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei – the cleric who additionally occurs to rule the Iranian state.

Sadr made clear in public that he blamed outsiders – implicitly Tehran – for Haeri’s intervention: “I do not imagine he did this of his personal volition,” Sadr tweeted.

A senior Baghdad-based member of Sadr’s motion stated Sadr was livid. “Haeri was Sadr’s non secular information. Sadr noticed it as a betrayal that aimed to rob him of his spiritual legitimacy as a Shi’ite chief, at a time when he is combating Iran-backed teams for energy.”

Sadrist officers in Najaf stated the transfer meant Sadr must select between obeying his non secular information Haeri and following Khamenei, or rejecting him and doubtlessly upsetting older figures in his motion who had been near Sadr’s father.

As an alternative, Sadr introduced his personal withdrawal from politics altogether, a transfer that spurred his followers onto the road.

The Iranian authorities and Sadr’s workplace didn’t instantly reply to request for remark for this story. Haeri’s workplace couldn’t instantly be reached.

Specialists in Shi’ite Islam say Haeri’s transfer to close his personal workplace and direct his followers to again the Iranian chief would definitely have appeared suspicious in an Iraqi context, the place recommendations of Iranian meddling are explosive.

“There’s robust purpose to imagine this was influenced by Iranian strain – however let’s not overlook that Haeri has additionally had disagreements with Sadr prior to now,” stated Marsin Alshammary, a analysis fellow on the Harvard Kennedy College.

“He directs followers to Khamenei when there isn’t any (spiritual) want to take action. And it appears unlikely an individual in his place would shut down his places of work that are most likely fairly profitable,” she stated.

VIOLENCE IS ONE OF THE TOOLS

As gun battles raged in central Baghdad, Sadr stayed silent for practically 24 hours.

Throughout that point, Shi’ite spiritual figures throughout Iraq tried to persuade Sadr to cease the violence. They had been joined by Shi’ite figures in Iran and Lebanon, in line with officers in these nations, who stated strain on Sadr was channelled via Sistani’s workplace in Najaf.

“The Iranians will not be intervening straight. They’re stung by the backlash in opposition to their affect in Iraq and are attempting to affect occasions from a distance,” an Iraqi authorities official stated.

Baghdad was calm on Friday, however the impasse stays.

Sadr insists on new elections, whereas some Iran-backed teams need to press forward to kind a authorities. Clashes broke out late within the week in oil-rich southern Iraq.

The federal government has been largely silent. Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi stated on Tuesday he would step down if violence continued, in a press release made hours after combating had already stopped.

“The place is the prime minister, the commander-in-chief, in all of this?” stated Renad Mansour of the London-based Chatham Home assume tank. Extra violence was attainable, Mansour stated.

“Sadr’s predominant focus is to change into the primary Shi’ite actor in Iraq, and so he needs to go after his Shi’ite opponents. In Iraq, violence is without doubt one of the instruments used to compete.”